Bitcoin can still rise to seven figures within five years, PlanB claims, calling for investors to ignore short-term “noise.”
Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $21,000 for the first time in eight days on July 26 as Wall Street prepared for a decision on United States’ anti-inflation policy.
BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView
Fed jitters test market resolve
Against its highs of $24,280 from July 20, the pair was now down over 14% as nerves across risk assets heightened in anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates due July 27.
The higher the base rate hike by the Fed, the more problematic the outlook for crypto investors as more tightening would mean more conservative conditions prevailing across the economy.
“BTC has lost the Higher Low, which represented a lower timeframe technical uptrend,” he told Twitter followers alongside an illustrative chart.
Elsewhere on macro, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its July 2022 World Economic Outlook, forecasting significant slowdown in global growth which should average 3.2% this year and 2.9% in 2023.
“The risk of recession is particularly prominent in 2023, when in several economies growth is expected to bottom out, household savings accumulated during the pandemic will have declined, and even small shocks could cause economies to stall,” it read.
Eyeing daily timeframes, popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital warned that with the Fed event still to come, Bitcoin had already lost its uptrend.
“BTC has lost the Higher Low, which represented a lower timeframe technical uptrend,” he told Twitter followers on the day.
A further post described the current pullback as the logical sequel to Bitcoin giving up its 200-week moving average level as support after briefly regaining it last week.
“Patience is a virtue,” fellow trader and analyst Anbessa continued.
Anbessa additionally said that that there was “no need to FOMO” into the markets at current prices.
Still in line for $1 million?
Others had reason to be cautiously bullish on Bitcoin, with conviction increasing in line with timeframes under observation.
“Volatile week playing out as expected,” fellow Twitter account IncomeSharks continued. In a more optimistic forecast, IncomeSharks said that it would eye a $30,000 price tag “in a few months.”
“Now is not the time to get bearish and sell, that was last week,” it added.
PlanB, creator of the Stock-to-Flow Bitcoin price models, meanwhile maintained that BTC/USD could still trade as high as $1 million by 2027.
At the same time, he predicted on the day, U.S. equities would reach new heights never seen before.
Some of you are afraid of macro and the link between bitcoin and stock markets etc.IMO the next ~5 years S&P500 will be in the $5K-$6K range and bitcoin in the $100K-$1M range. Short term is noise, long term is signal. pic.twitter.com/rhz4cigHRc
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